The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in August 2026 voting intention surveys at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec, with particular strength among francophone voters. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 71 percent for the October 5, 2026, general election. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026 following François Legault’s resignation, has seen her party’s support stabilize near 20 percent and personal satisfaction ratings decline to 38 percent. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Liberal leader in February 2026, leads his party at about 26 percent but trails in preferred premier measures. The remaining candidates register minimal support consistent with their parties’ lower polling. The race remains competitive within the three-week window before the writ is expected, with francophone voter priorities and late campaign dynamics capable of shifting final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%
Charles Milliard 16%
Christine Fréchette 13.4%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$246,582 KL.
$246,582 KL.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
71%

Charles Milliard
16%

Christine Fréchette
13%

Sol Zanetti
<1%

Bernard Drainville
<1%

Éric Duhaime
<1%

Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 71%
Charles Milliard 16%
Christine Fréchette 13.4%
Sol Zanetti <1%
$246,582 KL.
$246,582 KL.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
71%

Charles Milliard
16%

Christine Fréchette
13%

Sol Zanetti
<1%

Bernard Drainville
<1%

Éric Duhaime
<1%

Ruba Ghazal
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Parti Québécois maintains a consistent lead in August 2026 voting intention surveys at roughly 30 percent, ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party and the governing Coalition Avenir Québec, with particular strength among francophone voters. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Paul St-Pierre Plamondon at 71 percent for the October 5, 2026, general election. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026 following François Legault’s resignation, has seen her party’s support stabilize near 20 percent and personal satisfaction ratings decline to 38 percent. Charles Milliard, acclaimed as Liberal leader in February 2026, leads his party at about 26 percent but trails in preferred premier measures. The remaining candidates register minimal support consistent with their parties’ lower polling. The race remains competitive within the three-week window before the writ is expected, with francophone voter priorities and late campaign dynamics capable of shifting final seat outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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