Recent diplomatic actions against Iranian personnel, including the U.S. expulsion of a deputy UN envoy in December 2025 and Argentina’s April declaration of Iran’s chargé d’affaires persona non grata, have already addressed immediate security concerns. Gulf states conducted similar measures in March amid missile-related tensions, yet no comparable escalations or new bilateral disputes have emerged since early April. With the June 30 resolution window approaching and diplomatic channels remaining stable, traders view additional formal expulsions as unlikely in the short term. This consensus reflects the absence of fresh triggers that historically precede such steps, such as major incidents or public condemnations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic actions against Iranian personnel, including the U.S. expulsion of a deputy UN envoy in December 2025 and Argentina’s April declaration of Iran’s chargé d’affaires persona non grata, have already addressed immediate security concerns. Gulf states conducted similar measures in March amid missile-related tensions, yet no comparable escalations or new bilateral disputes have emerged since early April. With the June 30 resolution window approaching and diplomatic channels remaining stable, traders view additional formal expulsions as unlikely in the short term. This consensus reflects the absence of fresh triggers that historically precede such steps, such as major incidents or public condemnations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$7,650結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic actions against Iranian personnel, including the U.S. expulsion of a deputy UN envoy in December 2025 and Argentina’s April declaration of Iran’s chargé d’affaires persona non grata, have already addressed immediate security concerns. Gulf states conducted similar measures in March amid missile-related tensions, yet no comparable escalations or new bilateral disputes have emerged since early April. With the June 30 resolution window approaching and diplomatic channels remaining stable, traders view additional formal expulsions as unlikely in the short term. This consensus reflects the absence of fresh triggers that historically precede such steps, such as major incidents or public condemnations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,650結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic actions against Iranian personnel, including the U.S. expulsion of a deputy UN envoy in December 2025 and Argentina’s April declaration of Iran’s chargé d’affaires persona non grata, have already addressed immediate security concerns. Gulf states conducted similar measures in March amid missile-related tensions, yet no comparable escalations or new bilateral disputes have emerged since early April. With the June 30 resolution window approaching and diplomatic channels remaining stable, traders view additional formal expulsions as unlikely in the short term. This consensus reflects the absence of fresh triggers that historically precede such steps, such as major incidents or public condemnations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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