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選舉·巴西

Bahia Governor Election Winner

icon for Bahia Governor Election Winner
選舉·巴西

Bahia Governor Election Winner

ACM Neto 48%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 45%

Kleber Rosa <1%

João Roma <1%

Polymarket

$14,079 交易量

ACM Neto 48%

Jerônimo Rodrigues 45%

Kleber Rosa <1%

João Roma <1%

Polymarket

$14,079 交易量

icon for ACM Neto

ACM Neto

$3,817 交易量

48%

icon for Jerônimo Rodrigues

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$3,895 交易量

45%

icon for Kleber Rosa

Kleber Rosa

$1,281 交易量

<1%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$966 交易量

<1%

icon for Bruno Soares Reis

Bruno Soares Reis

$1,060 交易量

<1%

icon for José Carlos Aleluia

José Carlos Aleluia

$1,938 交易量

<1%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$1,124 交易量

<1%

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from firms such as Quaest and Veritá shows a technical tie between incumbent Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions hovering near 37-41 percent for each amid high undecided shares. This rematch of the 2022 runoff remains competitive due to Rodrigues’s structural advantages as sitting governor and recovered approval ratings, offset by Neto’s consistent edge in several March surveys and his alignment with national right-wing coalitions following União Brasil’s 2025 rupture with the federal administration. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts and late-campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$14,079
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from firms such as Quaest and Veritá shows a technical tie between incumbent Governor Jerônimo Rodrigues of the PT and challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil, with first-round intentions hovering near 37-41 percent for each amid high undecided shares. This rematch of the 2022 runoff remains competitive due to Rodrigues’s structural advantages as sitting governor and recovered approval ratings, offset by Neto’s consistent edge in several March surveys and his alignment with national right-wing coalitions following União Brasil’s 2025 rupture with the federal administration. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout shifts and late-campaign momentum ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$14,079
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bahia Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ACM Neto" at 48%, followed by "Jerônimo Rodrigues" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bahia Governor Election Winner" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bahia Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bahia Governor Election Winner" is "ACM Neto" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jerônimo Rodrigues" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bahia Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.