The Bank of Korea’s unanimous decision to hold the base rate at 2.50 percent in April, citing balanced risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions and their effects on inflation and growth, underpins the 98 percent market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Recent data show consumer price inflation rising to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April, exceeding the 2 percent target amid higher oil prices, while first-quarter GDP growth held near 1.7 percent, supported by semiconductor exports. Hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on May 4, signaling a potential shift toward considering rate hikes in future guidance, have not shifted the consensus, as the central bank maintains its data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI print or accelerated Korean won depreciation could modestly increase the slim odds of a hike before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於維持不變 98.0%
上調 1.8%
下調 <1%
$106,005 交易量
$106,005 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
98%
上調
2%
維持不變 98.0%
上調 1.8%
下調 <1%
$106,005 交易量
$106,005 交易量
下調
<1%
維持不變
98%
上調
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s unanimous decision to hold the base rate at 2.50 percent in April, citing balanced risks from Middle East geopolitical tensions and their effects on inflation and growth, underpins the 98 percent market-implied probability of no change at the May 28 meeting. Recent data show consumer price inflation rising to 2.6 percent year-over-year in April, exceeding the 2 percent target amid higher oil prices, while first-quarter GDP growth held near 1.7 percent, supported by semiconductor exports. Hawkish comments from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai on May 4, signaling a potential shift toward considering rate hikes in future guidance, have not shifted the consensus, as the central bank maintains its data-dependent stance and stable financial conditions. A hotter-than-expected May CPI print or accelerated Korean won depreciation could modestly increase the slim odds of a hike before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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