The Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14% and its updated forecasts—raising 2026 inflation to 6–7% due to fuel price spikes while lowering GDP growth to 0–1%—anchor trader expectations for a September 11 pause. Underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized and decelerating lending support measured easing overall, yet one-off supply constraints, elevated inflation expectations, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to signal a slower pace of reductions. This backdrop positions no change as the leading outcome at 63.5%, with a further 25-basis-point decrease at 36% if incoming data confirm sustained disinflation, while an increase remains remote at 1.4% given the ongoing easing cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於不變 64%
下調 37%
提高 1.4%
$70,790 交易量
$70,790 交易量
2026-09-11
下調
37%
不變
64%
提高
1%
不變 64%
下調 37%
提高 1.4%
$70,790 交易量
$70,790 交易量
2026-09-11
下調
$21,491 交易量
37%
不變
$26,159 交易量
64%
提高
$23,140 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14% and its updated forecasts—raising 2026 inflation to 6–7% due to fuel price spikes while lowering GDP growth to 0–1%—anchor trader expectations for a September 11 pause. Underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized and decelerating lending support measured easing overall, yet one-off supply constraints, elevated inflation expectations, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to signal a slower pace of reductions. This backdrop positions no change as the leading outcome at 63.5%, with a further 25-basis-point decrease at 36% if incoming data confirm sustained disinflation, while an increase remains remote at 1.4% given the ongoing easing cycle.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
交易量
$70,790結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14% and its updated forecasts—raising 2026 inflation to 6–7% due to fuel price spikes while lowering GDP growth to 0–1%—anchor trader expectations for a September 11 pause. Underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized and decelerating lending support measured easing overall, yet one-off supply constraints, elevated inflation expectations, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to signal a slower pace of reductions. This backdrop positions no change as the leading outcome at 63.5%, with a further 25-basis-point decrease at 36% if incoming data confirm sustained disinflation, while an increase remains remote at 1.4% given the ongoing easing cycle.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$70,790結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's July 24 cut of 25 basis points to 14% and its updated forecasts—raising 2026 inflation to 6–7% due to fuel price spikes while lowering GDP growth to 0–1%—anchor trader expectations for a September 11 pause. Underlying inflation near 4–5% annualized and decelerating lending support measured easing overall, yet one-off supply constraints, elevated inflation expectations, and more expansionary fiscal policy have prompted the central bank to signal a slower pace of reductions. This backdrop positions no change as the leading outcome at 63.5%, with a further 25-basis-point decrease at 36% if incoming data confirm sustained disinflation, while an increase remains remote at 1.4% given the ongoing easing cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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