Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-06-30
最新
最新
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$2,117結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,117結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Netanyahu's coalition stability hinges on retaining support from Itamar Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit party, a key partner in the current government, while recent Israeli High Court proceedings in April 2026 imposed limited restrictions on the National Security Minister's authority over police promotions and operations but declined to order his removal despite petitions alleging political interference. Ben-Gvir has continued exercising ministerial functions, including public statements on security policy and visits asserting Israeli sovereignty at the Temple Mount in May 2026, with no announcements of resignation or cabinet changes. Traders' consensus on an 88.5% probability that he remains in post through June 30 reflects these institutional barriers and the prime minister's repeated commitments to coalition partners, though ongoing legal reviews or shifts in parliamentary alignments could still influence the timeline before the resolution date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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