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icon for 柏林州選舉獲勝者
世界·世界選舉

柏林州選舉獲勝者

icon for 柏林州選舉獲勝者
世界·世界選舉

柏林州選舉獲勝者

Linke 100.0%

基民盟 <1%

AfD <1%

綠黨 <1%

Polymarket

$4,493,545 交易量

Linke 100.0%

基民盟 <1%

AfD <1%

綠黨 <1%

Polymarket

$4,493,545 交易量

icon for 基民盟

基民盟

$458,800 交易量

否

icon for AfD

AfD

$2,611,971 交易量

否

icon for 綠黨

綠黨

$248,556 交易量

否

icon for SPD

SPD

$447,232 交易量

否

icon for FDP

FDP

$20,953 交易量

否

icon for Linke

Linke

$642,360 交易量

是

icon for FW

FW

$15,172 交易量

否

icon for BSW

BSW

$48,502 交易量

否

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, capturing roughly 25.7 percent of the vote and finishing well ahead of the CDU on 18.8 percent. This outcome followed a campaign centered on housing affordability, where the party more than doubled its 2023 share amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance on rents and cost of living. Elevated turnout near 74-75 percent amplified gains among younger and urban voters, while the CDU, SPD, and others posted sharp declines. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the Linke aligns with these preliminary official tallies and seat projections. Final certified results or narrow procedural adjustments could still shift precise margins, though the current lead makes reversal improbable.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$4,493,545
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提議結果: 是

有爭議

已提議結果: 是

有爭議

最終結果: 是

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) The Linke secured its strongest-ever result in the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, capturing roughly 25.7 percent of the vote and finishing well ahead of the CDU on 18.8 percent. This outcome followed a campaign centered on housing affordability, where the party more than doubled its 2023 share amid voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition’s performance on rents and cost of living. Elevated turnout near 74-75 percent amplified gains among younger and urban voters, while the CDU, SPD, and others posted sharp declines. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the Linke aligns with these preliminary official tallies and seat projections. Final certified results or narrow procedural adjustments could still shift precise margins, though the current lead makes reversal improbable.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$4,493,545
結束日期
2026-09-20
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提議結果: 是

有爭議

已提議結果: 是

有爭議

最終結果: 是

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"柏林州選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Linke" at 100%, followed by "基民盟" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "柏林州選舉獲勝者" has generated $4.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "柏林州選舉獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "柏林州選舉獲勝者" is "Linke" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "基民盟" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "柏林州選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.