The polarized June 21 runoff between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout, drives trader expectations toward 60-64% participation. Heightened mobilization efforts, endorsements from eliminated centrists, and the stark ideological contrast have sustained campaign intensity in the eleven days since the May 31 vote. Historical patterns in Colombia show runoffs can maintain or modestly exceed first-round levels when voter blocs remain engaged, while abstention among non-advancing supporters remains the main variable that could cap gains. No significant disruptions or external factors have emerged to alter this baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%+ 5%
$11,714 交易量
$11,714 交易量
2026-06-22
低於52%
1%
52-56%
7%
56-60%
31%
60-64%
60%
64%+
5%
60-64% 60%
56-60% 31%
52-56% 7%
64%+ 5%
$11,714 交易量
$11,714 交易量
2026-06-22
低於52%
$675 交易量
1%
52-56%
$495 交易量
7%
56-60%
$2,664 交易量
31%
60-64%
$5,178 交易量
60%
64%+
$2,702 交易量
5%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The polarized June 21 runoff between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout, drives trader expectations toward 60-64% participation. Heightened mobilization efforts, endorsements from eliminated centrists, and the stark ideological contrast have sustained campaign intensity in the eleven days since the May 31 vote. Historical patterns in Colombia show runoffs can maintain or modestly exceed first-round levels when voter blocs remain engaged, while abstention among non-advancing supporters remains the main variable that could cap gains. No significant disruptions or external factors have emerged to alter this baseline.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
交易量
$11,714結束日期
2026-06-22市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The polarized June 21 runoff between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout, drives trader expectations toward 60-64% participation. Heightened mobilization efforts, endorsements from eliminated centrists, and the stark ideological contrast have sustained campaign intensity in the eleven days since the May 31 vote. Historical patterns in Colombia show runoffs can maintain or modestly exceed first-round levels when voter blocs remain engaged, while abstention among non-advancing supporters remains the main variable that could cap gains. No significant disruptions or external factors have emerged to alter this baseline.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$11,714結束日期
2026-06-22市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The polarized June 21 runoff between far-right candidate Abelardo de la Espriella and left-wing contender Iván Cepeda, following a record 57.9% first-round turnout, drives trader expectations toward 60-64% participation. Heightened mobilization efforts, endorsements from eliminated centrists, and the stark ideological contrast have sustained campaign intensity in the eleven days since the May 31 vote. Historical patterns in Colombia show runoffs can maintain or modestly exceed first-round levels when voter blocs remain engaged, while abstention among non-advancing supporters remains the main variable that could cap gains. No significant disruptions or external factors have emerged to alter this baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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