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政治·主要

FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者

喬·斯特拉達 76%

Carey Baker 23%

Tim Wilkins 2.4%

Ivette Palomo <1%

Polymarket

$25,979 交易量

喬·斯特拉達 76%

Carey Baker 23%

Tim Wilkins 2.4%

Ivette Palomo <1%

Polymarket

$25,979 交易量

喬·斯特拉達

$10,427 交易量

76%

Carey Baker

$7,802 交易量

23%

Tim Wilkins

$6,644 交易量

2%

Ivette Palomo

$573 交易量

<1%

Nizam Razack

$534 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Strada holds the strongest position in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 11th congressional district, driven by substantial fundraising and spending advantages over rivals along with endorsements from figures including House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan, Attorney General James Uthmeier, and multiple county sheriffs. Former state Senator and Lake County Property Appraiser Carey Baker stands as the primary alternative, drawing on prior legislative experience in the region but trailing in reported campaign resources and high-profile support. Attack ads have highlighted Strada's residency outside the district lines, yet trader consensus reflects limited impact on his lead. The remaining candidates register minimal activity and negligible shares amid the short timeline to the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,979
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Strada holds the strongest position in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 11th congressional district, driven by substantial fundraising and spending advantages over rivals along with endorsements from figures including House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, House Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan, Attorney General James Uthmeier, and multiple county sheriffs. Former state Senator and Lake County Property Appraiser Carey Baker stands as the primary alternative, drawing on prior legislative experience in the region but trailing in reported campaign resources and high-profile support. Attack ads have highlighted Strada's residency outside the district lines, yet trader consensus reflects limited impact on his lead. The remaining candidates register minimal activity and negligible shares amid the short timeline to the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,979
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬·斯特拉達" at 76%, followed by "Carey Baker" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $26K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" is "喬·斯特拉達" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carey Baker" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.