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icon for FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者

FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者

FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者

Shevrin Jones 89%

奧利弗·吉爾伯特 12%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

馬歇爾·戴維斯·塞爾 <1%

Polymarket

$26,118 交易量

Shevrin Jones 89%

奧利弗·吉爾伯特 12%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

馬歇爾·戴維斯·塞爾 <1%

Polymarket

$26,118 交易量

Shevrin Jones

$11,297 交易量

89%

奧利弗·吉爾伯特

$9,810 交易量

12%

Kendrick Meek Jr.

$1,619 交易量

<1%

馬歇爾·戴維斯·塞爾

$604 交易量

<1%

魯迪·莫伊茲

$1,161 交易量

<1%

Jean Monestime

$762 交易量

<1%

羅德里克·維林

$866 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Shevrin Jones leads the Democratic primary for Florida’s 24th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Frederica Wilson’s retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling edge in a crowded eight-candidate field. Recent surveys from National Victory Strategies and St. show Jones at 33-35% support among likely voters, ahead of Miami-Dade County Commission Chair Oliver Gilbert III at 23-28% and Kendrick Meek Jr. farther back, though over a quarter remain undecided days before the August 18 vote. Jones’s state Senate tenure, fundraising, and cross-demographic backing position him as the frontrunner in this heavily Democratic Miami-Dade district, while Gilbert’s local government experience and outside spending keep his slim market share alive amid late undecided voter movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,118
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Shevrin Jones leads the Democratic primary for Florida’s 24th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Frederica Wilson’s retirement, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling edge in a crowded eight-candidate field. Recent surveys from National Victory Strategies and St. show Jones at 33-35% support among likely voters, ahead of Miami-Dade County Commission Chair Oliver Gilbert III at 23-28% and Kendrick Meek Jr. farther back, though over a quarter remain undecided days before the August 18 vote. Jones’s state Senate tenure, fundraising, and cross-demographic backing position him as the frontrunner in this heavily Democratic Miami-Dade district, while Gilbert’s local government experience and outside spending keep his slim market share alive amid late undecided voter movement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$26,118
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shevrin Jones" at 89%, followed by "奧利弗·吉爾伯特" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $26.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Shevrin Jones" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "奧利弗·吉爾伯特" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-24民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.