Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate a cooling trend driven by a passing cold front, with daytime highs in the Black Rock Desert expected to peak in the low-to-mid 80s°F during the August 30–September 7 event window after pre-event readings near 94°F. This reflects typical late-summer steering patterns and reduced insolation as September approaches, though model runs still show variability from afternoon wind gusts and residual moisture. Trader consensus across the closely matched 38–41% bins for bins from 86°F or below through 97°F+ underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak daily maxima, with new NWS updates expected to refine diurnal ranges and any localized heating on the playa. Historical climatology for the region favors 90–100°F peaks, making current cooler guidance the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於87-88°F 45%
91-92°F 28%
95-96°F 28%
93-94°F 27%
86°F或以下
25%
87-88°F
45%
89-90°F
25%
91-92°F
28%
93-94°F
27%
95-96°F
28%
華氏97度或以上
26%
87-88°F 45%
91-92°F 28%
95-96°F 28%
93-94°F 27%
86°F或以下
25%
87-88°F
45%
89-90°F
25%
91-92°F
28%
93-94°F
27%
95-96°F
28%
華氏97度或以上
26%
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service indicate a cooling trend driven by a passing cold front, with daytime highs in the Black Rock Desert expected to peak in the low-to-mid 80s°F during the August 30–September 7 event window after pre-event readings near 94°F. This reflects typical late-summer steering patterns and reduced insolation as September approaches, though model runs still show variability from afternoon wind gusts and residual moisture. Trader consensus across the closely matched 38–41% bins for bins from 86°F or below through 97°F+ underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in peak daily maxima, with new NWS updates expected to refine diurnal ranges and any localized heating on the playa. Historical climatology for the region favors 90–100°F peaks, making current cooler guidance the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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