Trader consensus for Austin's May 16 high centers on National Weather Service and model guidance projecting an afternoon peak in the low 90s, driven by a strong southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a building high-pressure ridge. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread, with only minor cooling possible from scattered high clouds later in the day. Official resolution will rely on the Austin Bergstrom International Airport observation, where historical data indicate occasional spikes into the 90s under similar late-spring setups. Updated afternoon NWS briefings could refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 61%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 1.0%
$38,369 交易量
$38,369 交易量
2026-05-16
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
30%
90°F or higher
61%
90°F or higher 61%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 10%
84-85°F 1.0%
$38,369 交易量
$38,369 交易量
2026-05-16
72-73°F
$7,260 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$2,682 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$3,097 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$2,088 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$2,585 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$1,971 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,724 交易量
1%
86-87°F
$2,432 交易量
10%
88-89°F
$1,704 交易量
30%
90°F or higher
$3,696 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Austin's May 16 high centers on National Weather Service and model guidance projecting an afternoon peak in the low 90s, driven by a strong southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a building high-pressure ridge. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread, with only minor cooling possible from scattered high clouds later in the day. Official resolution will rely on the Austin Bergstrom International Airport observation, where historical data indicate occasional spikes into the 90s under similar late-spring setups. Updated afternoon NWS briefings could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$38,369結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus for Austin's May 16 high centers on National Weather Service and model guidance projecting an afternoon peak in the low 90s, driven by a strong southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a building high-pressure ridge. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread, with only minor cooling possible from scattered high clouds later in the day. Official resolution will rely on the Austin Bergstrom International Airport observation, where historical data indicate occasional spikes into the 90s under similar late-spring setups. Updated afternoon NWS briefings could refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,369結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus for Austin's May 16 high centers on National Weather Service and model guidance projecting an afternoon peak in the low 90s, driven by a strong southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture under a building high-pressure ridge. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar insolation, pushing readings above the mid-May climatological average of 85°F. Recent 12Z GFS and ECMWF runs show limited spread, with only minor cooling possible from scattered high clouds later in the day. Official resolution will rely on the Austin Bergstrom International Airport observation, where historical data indicate occasional spikes into the 90s under similar late-spring setups. Updated afternoon NWS briefings could refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions