Forecast models from Argentine meteorological authorities and regional ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, 2026, under mild winter conditions with moderate northerly winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C, and recent observations show no strong frontal systems or anomalous warming to push readings higher. The market's 97.5% implied probability on 18°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and official measurement criteria. An unexpected cold outbreak or measurement revision below 17°C remains possible but improbable given current model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
18°C 95%
19°C 4%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,266 交易量
$16,266 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 95%
19°C 4%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,266 交易量
$16,266 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
95%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Argentine meteorological authorities and regional ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Buenos Aires on August 16, 2026, under mild winter conditions with moderate northerly winds and limited daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where average highs reach 15–17°C, and recent observations show no strong frontal systems or anomalous warming to push readings higher. The market's 97.5% implied probability on 18°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns and official measurement criteria. An unexpected cold outbreak or measurement revision below 17°C remains possible but improbable given current model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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