Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin. Numerical models and climatological baselines, which show average highs near 34–35°C this time of year, support the strong market consensus at 36°C. Traders assign lower odds to 37°C or higher because current steering flows and surface conditions lack signals for rapid intensification. A sudden increase in afternoon convection or revised model runs incorporating cooler air advection could still shift the observed peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日重慶氣溫最高?
36°C 92%
37°C 9%
40°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,620 交易量
$60,620 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
92%
37°C
9%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 92%
37°C 9%
40°C <1%
38°C <1%
$60,620 交易量
$60,620 交易量
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
92%
37°C
9%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies point to a daytime maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by typical mid-August subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin. Numerical models and climatological baselines, which show average highs near 34–35°C this time of year, support the strong market consensus at 36°C. Traders assign lower odds to 37°C or higher because current steering flows and surface conditions lack signals for rapid intensification. A sudden increase in afternoon convection or revised model runs incorporating cooler air advection could still shift the observed peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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