Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies have converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C for London on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following the prior day's 34°C peak. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs, combined with real-time surface observations tracking within the expected range, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical climatology for mid-August supports moderate highs after heatwave conditions, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing stability. Late-day model runs or final official station readings from sites like Heathrow could still shift the recorded maximum if localized cloud or wind changes occur, though current consensus leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月15日倫敦的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
$176,815 交易量
$176,815 交易量
2026-08-15
26°C
100%
26°C 100.0%
$176,815 交易量
$176,815 交易量
2026-08-15
26°C
$31,917 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies have converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C for London on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following the prior day's 34°C peak. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs, combined with real-time surface observations tracking within the expected range, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical climatology for mid-August supports moderate highs after heatwave conditions, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing stability. Late-day model runs or final official station readings from sites like Heathrow could still shift the recorded maximum if localized cloud or wind changes occur, though current consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$176,815結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies have converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C for London on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following the prior day's 34°C peak. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs, combined with real-time surface observations tracking within the expected range, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical climatology for mid-August supports moderate highs after heatwave conditions, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing stability. Late-day model runs or final official station readings from sites like Heathrow could still shift the recorded maximum if localized cloud or wind changes occur, though current consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$176,815結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from the UK Met Office and European agencies have converged on a daytime maximum near 26°C for London on August 15, 2026, under mostly sunny intervals and light northerly winds following the prior day's 34°C peak. This alignment of numerical weather prediction outputs, combined with real-time surface observations tracking within the expected range, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical climatology for mid-August supports moderate highs after heatwave conditions, with minimal precipitation risk reinforcing stability. Late-day model runs or final official station readings from sites like Heathrow could still shift the recorded maximum if localized cloud or wind changes occur, though current consensus leaves little room for deviation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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