Traders have aligned overwhelmingly on an 18°C maximum for London on May 17, reflecting verified observational data from UK Met Office stations that recorded this peak under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. These readings follow World Meteorological Organization standards for daily highs and sit slightly above the long-term May average of 16–17°C for the region. With the date now concluded, market-implied odds rest on post-event confirmation rather than model projections, eliminating most forecast uncertainty. Only an improbable revision to the official record—such as a rare station calibration adjustment—could realistically shift the outcome toward 19°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日倫敦的最高溫度?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$172,338 交易量
$172,338 交易量
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$172,338 交易量
$172,338 交易量
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have aligned overwhelmingly on an 18°C maximum for London on May 17, reflecting verified observational data from UK Met Office stations that recorded this peak under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds. These readings follow World Meteorological Organization standards for daily highs and sit slightly above the long-term May average of 16–17°C for the region. With the date now concluded, market-implied odds rest on post-event confirmation rather than model projections, eliminating most forecast uncertainty. Only an improbable revision to the official record—such as a rare station calibration adjustment—could realistically shift the outcome toward 19°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions