Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila highs near 32–33°C on June 13 amid developing El Niño conditions, which elevate baseline sea surface temperatures and favor warmer, drier tendencies despite the onset of the southwest monsoon. Key differentiators among closely matched 32–34°C outcomes include variable cloud cover and rainfall probability—higher precipitation suppresses peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling—along with local urban heat effects and steering patterns that could allow brief clearer periods for modest intensification. Traders weigh these short-term variables against climatological June averages around 32°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 27%
35°C 12%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila highs near 32–33°C on June 13 amid developing El Niño conditions, which elevate baseline sea surface temperatures and favor warmer, drier tendencies despite the onset of the southwest monsoon. Key differentiators among closely matched 32–34°C outcomes include variable cloud cover and rainfall probability—higher precipitation suppresses peak temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling—along with local urban heat effects and steering patterns that could allow brief clearer periods for modest intensification. Traders weigh these short-term variables against climatological June averages around 32°C, with resolution hinging on the final 24-hour observational maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions