Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 2 daytime high will likely reach 30–32°C amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation are expected to moderate peak heating by reducing insolation, consistent with early-September climatology of 29–31°C maxima. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate winds from the southwest maintaining high humidity near 80%, with minimal diurnal range. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects this balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression, though short-term model updates or shifts in convective activity could adjust the observed maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 12%
33°C 10%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 12%
33°C 10%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's September 2 daytime high will likely reach 30–32°C amid active southwest monsoon (Habagat) flow and scattered thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and widespread precipitation are expected to moderate peak heating by reducing insolation, consistent with early-September climatology of 29–31°C maxima. Model consensus shows light-to-moderate winds from the southwest maintaining high humidity near 80%, with minimal diurnal range. Trader emphasis on 31°C reflects this balance between residual warmth and monsoon suppression, though short-term model updates or shifts in convective activity could adjust the observed maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions