**Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA indicate overnight lows near 25°C for Manila on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from the southwest monsoon during the peak rainy season.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–27°C range consistent with September climatology (historical averages of 24–26°C lows). Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no immediate tropical cyclone influence, though brief heavy rain could slightly elevate or depress the recorded minimum depending on timing. Trader consensus around 24°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official verification, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum at the primary Manila station. Updated forecasts or any monsoon surge in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
9月2日馬尼拉的最低溫度？
31°C或更高 94%
21°C或以下 92%
22°C 90%
28°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
21°C或以下
92%
22°C
90%
23°C
13%
24°C
89%
25°C
88%
26°C
84%
27°C
56%
28°C
90%
29°C
88%
30°C
89%
31°C或更高
94%
31°C或更高 94%
21°C或以下 92%
22°C 90%
28°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
92%
22°C
$5 交易量
90%
23°C
$21 交易量
13%
24°C
$0 交易量
89%
25°C
$0 交易量
88%
26°C
$0 交易量
84%
27°C
$0 交易量
56%
28°C
$0 交易量
90%
29°C
$1 交易量
88%
30°C
$5 交易量
89%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA indicate overnight lows near 25°C for Manila on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from the southwest monsoon during the peak rainy season.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–27°C range consistent with September climatology (historical averages of 24–26°C lows). Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no immediate tropical cyclone influence, though brief heavy rain could slightly elevate or depress the recorded minimum depending on timing. Trader consensus around 24°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official verification, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum at the primary Manila station. Updated forecasts or any monsoon surge in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA indicate overnight lows near 25°C for Manila on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from the southwest monsoon during the peak rainy season.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–27°C range consistent with September climatology (historical averages of 24–26°C lows). Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no immediate tropical cyclone influence, though brief heavy rain could slightly elevate or depress the recorded minimum depending on timing. Trader consensus around 24°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official verification, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum at the primary Manila station. Updated forecasts or any monsoon surge in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Current forecast models from agencies like PAGASA indicate overnight lows near 25°C for Manila on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers from the southwest monsoon during the peak rainy season.** These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime heating, keeping minimum temperatures clustered in the 24–27°C range consistent with September climatology (historical averages of 24–26°C lows). Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with no immediate tropical cyclone influence, though brief heavy rain could slightly elevate or depress the recorded minimum depending on timing. Trader consensus around 24°C and 27°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band ahead of official verification, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum at the primary Manila station. Updated forecasts or any monsoon surge in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions