Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28–29°C in Milan on September 14 under high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders at 44% and 26.5% implied probability. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where clear skies and weak winds favor daytime warming without significant advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月14日米蘭的最高溫度？
29°C 44%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
44%
30°C
19%
31°C或以上
12%
29°C 44%
28°C 27%
30°C 19%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C
$0 交易量
2%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
6%
27°C
$17 交易量
16%
28°C
$12 交易量
27%
29°C
$82 交易量
44%
30°C
$0 交易量
19%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28–29°C in Milan on September 14 under high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders at 44% and 26.5% implied probability. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where clear skies and weak winds favor daytime warming without significant advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$110結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28–29°C in Milan on September 14 under high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders at 44% and 26.5% implied probability. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where clear skies and weak winds favor daytime warming without significant advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$110結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate a maximum temperature near 28–29°C in Milan on September 14 under high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning these outcomes as the market leaders at 44% and 26.5% implied probability. This aligns with above-average late-summer conditions in the Po Valley, where clear skies and weak winds favor daytime warming without significant advection of cooler air. Model consensus shows low precipitation risk and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions