National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park point to a daily high near 88°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and peak late-summer solar heating, which underpins the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble model guidance supports mid-to-upper 80s readings, while a roughly 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces modest capping potential consistent with typical August Northeast climatology and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show limited divergence, keeping extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of midday updates that will finalize resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月12日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 55%
88-89°F 40%
84-85°F 7%
90-91°F 1.4%
最新
$34,788 交易量
最新
$34,788 交易量
2026-08-12
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
55%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 55%
88-89°F 40%
84-85°F 7%
90-91°F 1.4%
最新
$34,788 交易量
最新
$34,788 交易量
2026-08-12
79°F or below
$1,257 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,163 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$4,299 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$5,120 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$8,787 交易量
55%
88-89°F
$5,787 交易量
40%
90-91°F
$3,499 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$3,193 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$760 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$543 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$381 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park point to a daily high near 88°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and peak late-summer solar heating, which underpins the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble model guidance supports mid-to-upper 80s readings, while a roughly 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces modest capping potential consistent with typical August Northeast climatology and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show limited divergence, keeping extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of midday updates that will finalize resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$34,788結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park point to a daily high near 88°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and peak late-summer solar heating, which underpins the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble model guidance supports mid-to-upper 80s readings, while a roughly 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces modest capping potential consistent with typical August Northeast climatology and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show limited divergence, keeping extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of midday updates that will finalize resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,788結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Central Park point to a daily high near 88°F on August 12 under mostly sunny skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and peak late-summer solar heating, which underpins the market’s concentration on the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble model guidance supports mid-to-upper 80s readings, while a roughly 30% chance of afternoon showers introduces modest capping potential consistent with typical August Northeast climatology and boundary-layer moisture. Recent runs show limited divergence, keeping extremes at low implied probabilities ahead of midday updates that will finalize resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions