Current forecasts from regional models indicate typical wet-season conditions for Panama City on August 21, positioning afternoon maxima most likely in the 31–33°C range. High humidity, abundant moisture, and daytime instability promote scattered convection that caps peak heating, consistent with historical August averages near 29–30°C and limited variability from steering patterns or large-scale anomalies. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing modest daytime warming potential before clouds and showers develop. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 47%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 6%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
47%
34°C
21%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
33°C 47%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 6%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
26%
33°C
47%
34°C
21%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional models indicate typical wet-season conditions for Panama City on August 21, positioning afternoon maxima most likely in the 31–33°C range. High humidity, abundant moisture, and daytime instability promote scattered convection that caps peak heating, consistent with historical August averages near 29–30°C and limited variability from steering patterns or large-scale anomalies. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 33°C and 25.5% for 32°C, incorporates recent model runs showing modest daytime warming potential before clouds and showers develop. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours remains the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions