An approaching upper-level low is driving cooler, unsettled conditions across western Washington, pushing Seattle's overnight low on August 22 into the upper 50s according to National Weather Service and private model consensus. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling while advection of marine air suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms of 57–59°F. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial probability mass on both sub-52°F outcomes from stronger cooling and mid-60s readings if marine influence remains weaker than modeled. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and model runs for adjustments to the minimum temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日西雅圖的最低溫度？
8月22日西雅圖的最低溫度？
華氏51度或以下 89%
64-65°F 37%
58-59°F 36%
60-61°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
華氏51度或以下
89%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
29%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
1%
68-69華氏度
1%
華氏70度或以上
1%
華氏51度或以下 89%
64-65°F 37%
58-59°F 36%
60-61°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
華氏51度或以下
$22 交易量
89%
52-53°F
$0 交易量
19%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
19%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
19%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
36%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
29%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
27%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
37%
66-67°F
$47 交易量
1%
68-69華氏度
$47 交易量
1%
華氏70度或以上
$47 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching upper-level low is driving cooler, unsettled conditions across western Washington, pushing Seattle's overnight low on August 22 into the upper 50s according to National Weather Service and private model consensus. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling while advection of marine air suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms of 57–59°F. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial probability mass on both sub-52°F outcomes from stronger cooling and mid-60s readings if marine influence remains weaker than modeled. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and model runs for adjustments to the minimum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$162結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An approaching upper-level low is driving cooler, unsettled conditions across western Washington, pushing Seattle's overnight low on August 22 into the upper 50s according to National Weather Service and private model consensus. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling while advection of marine air suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms of 57–59°F. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial probability mass on both sub-52°F outcomes from stronger cooling and mid-60s readings if marine influence remains weaker than modeled. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and model runs for adjustments to the minimum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$162結束日期
2026-08-22市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETAn approaching upper-level low is driving cooler, unsettled conditions across western Washington, pushing Seattle's overnight low on August 22 into the upper 50s according to National Weather Service and private model consensus. Scattered showers and increased cloud cover are expected to limit radiative cooling while advection of marine air suppresses temperatures below seasonal norms of 57–59°F. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, with substantial probability mass on both sub-52°F outcomes from stronger cooling and mid-60s readings if marine influence remains weaker than modeled. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast updates and model runs for adjustments to the minimum temperature threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions