Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models currently favor a daily maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, which reduce solar heating and keep temperatures from climbing higher. This aligns with observed May climatology where highs typically range 15–19°C, though variable cloud cover and minor shifts in the steering flow could easily nudge the peak to 15°C or 17°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders closely watching final observational data from official stations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴黎最高溫度?
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.9%
$55,898 交易量
$55,898 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
51%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 35%
17°C 13%
14°C 3.9%
$55,898 交易量
$55,898 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
51%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models currently favor a daily maximum of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds, which reduce solar heating and keep temperatures from climbing higher. This aligns with observed May climatology where highs typically range 15–19°C, though variable cloud cover and minor shifts in the steering flow could easily nudge the peak to 15°C or 17°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with traders closely watching final observational data from official stations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions