Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日聖保羅的最高溫度?
$62,134 交易量
$62,134 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
$62,134 交易量
$62,134 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official measurements from São Paulo’s meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum of 22°C on May 17 under typical mid-autumn subsidence and light easterly winds that limited cloud cover and daytime heating. This observed value aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 22°C outcome, reflecting verified station data rather than model projections. Historical May averages hover near 22°C, providing climatological context for the result, while minor afternoon variations in insolation or wind shifts could have nudged readings toward 23°C. With the day concluded, trader consensus now rests on finalized observational records from Brazil’s national monitoring network, leaving negligible room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the official peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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