Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月8日聖保羅的最高溫度?
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 交易量
$104,497 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$104,497 交易量
$104,497 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo's key weather stations, including Congonhas Airport, confirm the highest temperature reached 29°C on May 8, 2026, with maximum readings peaking mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. This verified data, released in INMET's daily bulletin late yesterday, underpins the market's 100% implied probability on 29°C, reflecting trader consensus on the uncontroverted ground truth from calibrated thermometers. Sao Paulo's autumn climatology supports such mild highs, averaging 24-26°C in May, with no anomalous heat drivers like El Niño residuals. Realistic challenges—such as a late data revision from a peripheral station or quality-control adjustment—remain improbable absent evidence of sensor error, with final archives expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions