Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Central Weather Administration highlights increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers or thunderstorms on June 13, moderating maximum temperatures in Taipei amid typical early-summer monsoon influences. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–31°C, with 30°C edging ahead at 27.5% as traders weigh historical June averages near 30–32°C against the risk of suppressed heating from precipitation. Recent heat records in late May underscore variability, yet current steering patterns and limited sunshine duration favor outcomes below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日臺北氣溫最高?
30°C 27%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 15%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
23%
30°C
27%
31°C
22%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
30°C 27%
29°C 23%
31°C 22%
28°C 15%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
23%
30°C
27%
31°C
22%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 11, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the Central Weather Administration highlights increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers or thunderstorms on June 13, moderating maximum temperatures in Taipei amid typical early-summer monsoon influences. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–31°C, with 30°C edging ahead at 27.5% as traders weigh historical June averages near 30–32°C against the risk of suppressed heating from precipitation. Recent heat records in late May underscore variability, yet current steering patterns and limited sunshine duration favor outcomes below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions