Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日東京氣溫最高？
5月17日東京氣溫最高？
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 交易量
$94,339 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 交易量
$94,339 交易量
2026-05-17
20°C or below
$3,024 交易量
No
21°C
$1,893 交易量
No
22°C
$819 交易量
No
23°C
$5,290 交易量
No
24°C
$8,445 交易量
No
25°C
$7,250 交易量
No
26°C
$10,417 交易量
No
27°C
$14,452 交易量
No
28°C
$20,264 交易量
Yes
29°C
$12,068 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$10,417 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$94,339結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$94,339結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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