Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate that Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17 remained near 13 °C, consistent with a persistent cool northerly flow and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this value, with little support for warming above 14 °C. Historical May climatology for the city places average daily maxima near 18 °C, underscoring how the current pattern deviated from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and modeling consensus, though minor revisions could occur if final station data reveal localized warming or instrument adjustments at the official recording site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日華沙的最高溫度?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$54,323 交易量
$54,323 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$54,323 交易量
$54,323 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate that Warsaw’s maximum temperature on May 17 remained near 13 °C, consistent with a persistent cool northerly flow and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showed tight clustering around this value, with little support for warming above 14 °C. Historical May climatology for the city places average daily maxima near 18 °C, underscoring how the current pattern deviated from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and modeling consensus, though minor revisions could occur if final station data reveal localized warming or instrument adjustments at the official recording site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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