Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus, alongside S&P Global readings showing accelerated activity from World Cup and event-driven demand, anchors trader focus for the August release amid expectations of normalization. Persistent price pressures near 70 and mixed employment signals—contracting in the latest ISM print—create uncertainty around the 53–55 range, where the top two bins hold roughly equal implied odds near 29% each. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market reports, any moderation in input costs tied to energy and tariffs, and confirmation of whether business activity sustains above 55 or reverts toward the recent 54 average. Markets price these probabilities based on real capital at risk, reflecting the data-dependent path for services expansion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於54.0–54.9 30%
53.0–53.9 29%
55.0–55.9 17%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,597 交易量
$23,597 交易量
2026-09-03
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
1%
51.0–51.9
1%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
29%
54.0–54.9
30%
55.0–55.9
17%
56.0–56.9
8%
57.0–57.9
5%
58.0+
1%
54.0–54.9 30%
53.0–53.9 29%
55.0–55.9 17%
52.0–52.9 16%
$23,597 交易量
$23,597 交易量
2026-09-03
<50.0
$531 交易量
1%
50.0–50.9
$575 交易量
1%
51.0–51.9
$604 交易量
1%
52.0–52.9
$3,568 交易量
16%
53.0–53.9
$8,738 交易量
29%
54.0–54.9
$3,834 交易量
30%
55.0–55.9
$3,832 交易量
17%
56.0–56.9
$614 交易量
8%
57.0–57.9
$678 交易量
5%
58.0+
$624 交易量
1%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus, alongside S&P Global readings showing accelerated activity from World Cup and event-driven demand, anchors trader focus for the August release amid expectations of normalization. Persistent price pressures near 70 and mixed employment signals—contracting in the latest ISM print—create uncertainty around the 53–55 range, where the top two bins hold roughly equal implied odds near 29% each. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market reports, any moderation in input costs tied to energy and tariffs, and confirmation of whether business activity sustains above 55 or reverts toward the recent 54 average. Markets price these probabilities based on real capital at risk, reflecting the data-dependent path for services expansion.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$23,597結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus, alongside S&P Global readings showing accelerated activity from World Cup and event-driven demand, anchors trader focus for the August release amid expectations of normalization. Persistent price pressures near 70 and mixed employment signals—contracting in the latest ISM print—create uncertainty around the 53–55 range, where the top two bins hold roughly equal implied odds near 29% each. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market reports, any moderation in input costs tied to energy and tariffs, and confirmation of whether business activity sustains above 55 or reverts toward the recent 54 average. Markets price these probabilities based on real capital at risk, reflecting the data-dependent path for services expansion.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$23,597結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, slightly below consensus, alongside S&P Global readings showing accelerated activity from World Cup and event-driven demand, anchors trader focus for the August release amid expectations of normalization. Persistent price pressures near 70 and mixed employment signals—contracting in the latest ISM print—create uncertainty around the 53–55 range, where the top two bins hold roughly equal implied odds near 29% each. Key swing factors include upcoming labor market reports, any moderation in input costs tied to energy and tariffs, and confirmation of whether business activity sustains above 55 or reverts toward the recent 54 average. Markets price these probabilities based on real capital at risk, reflecting the data-dependent path for services expansion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions