Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets since late February 2026 have kept Israel's airspace under strict wartime restrictions, with commercial flights largely suspended in favor of limited rescue and repatriation operations. Recent extensions of these measures through mid-April reflected assessments of Iranian missile and drone retaliation risks, while gradual capacity increases and selective reopenings at Ben Gurion Airport occurred amid de-escalation signals. Neighboring states including the UAE have since normalized air traffic, yet Israeli authorities maintain controlled access and one-per-hour flight limits tied to security evaluations. Traders monitor diplomatic developments and any new escalation in the Iran conflict for shifts in closure timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$901,949 交易量
2026-05-31
May 31
37%
6月30日
54%
$901,949 交易量
May 31
$397,174 交易量
37%
6月30日
$9,883 交易量
54%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets since late February 2026 have kept Israel's airspace under strict wartime restrictions, with commercial flights largely suspended in favor of limited rescue and repatriation operations. Recent extensions of these measures through mid-April reflected assessments of Iranian missile and drone retaliation risks, while gradual capacity increases and selective reopenings at Ben Gurion Airport occurred amid de-escalation signals. Neighboring states including the UAE have since normalized air traffic, yet Israeli authorities maintain controlled access and one-per-hour flight limits tied to security evaluations. Traders monitor diplomatic developments and any new escalation in the Iran conflict for shifts in closure timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
交易量
$901,949結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets since late February 2026 have kept Israel's airspace under strict wartime restrictions, with commercial flights largely suspended in favor of limited rescue and repatriation operations. Recent extensions of these measures through mid-April reflected assessments of Iranian missile and drone retaliation risks, while gradual capacity increases and selective reopenings at Ben Gurion Airport occurred amid de-escalation signals. Neighboring states including the UAE have since normalized air traffic, yet Israeli authorities maintain controlled access and one-per-hour flight limits tied to security evaluations. Traders monitor diplomatic developments and any new escalation in the Iran conflict for shifts in closure timelines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$901,949結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets since late February 2026 have kept Israel's airspace under strict wartime restrictions, with commercial flights largely suspended in favor of limited rescue and repatriation operations. Recent extensions of these measures through mid-April reflected assessments of Iranian missile and drone retaliation risks, while gradual capacity increases and selective reopenings at Ben Gurion Airport occurred amid de-escalation signals. Neighboring states including the UAE have since normalized air traffic, yet Israeli authorities maintain controlled access and one-per-hour flight limits tied to security evaluations. Traders monitor diplomatic developments and any new escalation in the Iran conflict for shifts in closure timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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