**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear majority in the 300-seat National Assembly (161 seats versus 110 for the main opposition), creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but advanced no further due to this arithmetic. Recent approval ratings have fallen to the low 30s amid cabinet reshuffle controversies, real estate policy debates, and internal party friction, yet ruling-party leaders have publicly dismissed any realistic impeachment risk and compared internal criticism to past failed efforts. Lee’s scheduled September 18 news conference addresses related issues, including prosecution reform and term-limit questions, but no legislative coalition capable of reaching the constitutional threshold has emerged. Trader consensus therefore reflects the durable legislative math and absence of enabling political shifts through late 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$21,783 交易量
$21,783 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 機率
$21,783 交易量
$21,783 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear majority in the 300-seat National Assembly (161 seats versus 110 for the main opposition), creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but advanced no further due to this arithmetic. Recent approval ratings have fallen to the low 30s amid cabinet reshuffle controversies, real estate policy debates, and internal party friction, yet ruling-party leaders have publicly dismissed any realistic impeachment risk and compared internal criticism to past failed efforts. Lee’s scheduled September 18 news conference addresses related issues, including prosecution reform and term-limit questions, but no legislative coalition capable of reaching the constitutional threshold has emerged. Trader consensus therefore reflects the durable legislative math and absence of enabling political shifts through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$21,783結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear majority in the 300-seat National Assembly (161 seats versus 110 for the main opposition), creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but advanced no further due to this arithmetic. Recent approval ratings have fallen to the low 30s amid cabinet reshuffle controversies, real estate policy debates, and internal party friction, yet ruling-party leaders have publicly dismissed any realistic impeachment risk and compared internal criticism to past failed efforts. Lee’s scheduled September 18 news conference addresses related issues, including prosecution reform and term-limit questions, but no legislative coalition capable of reaching the constitutional threshold has emerged. Trader consensus therefore reflects the durable legislative math and absence of enabling political shifts through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$21,783結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party of Korea holds a clear majority in the 300-seat National Assembly (161 seats versus 110 for the main opposition), creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds supermajority of 200 votes.** A June 2026 citizen petition calling for his removal over suspended criminal cases collected signatures but advanced no further due to this arithmetic. Recent approval ratings have fallen to the low 30s amid cabinet reshuffle controversies, real estate policy debates, and internal party friction, yet ruling-party leaders have publicly dismissed any realistic impeachment risk and compared internal criticism to past failed efforts. Lee’s scheduled September 18 news conference addresses related issues, including prosecution reform and term-limit questions, but no legislative coalition capable of reaching the constitutional threshold has emerged. Trader consensus therefore reflects the durable legislative math and absence of enabling political shifts through late 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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