**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for Ankara on September 14, driven by radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy to clear skies following a 24–26°C daytime high.** Moderate westerly winds (5–9 mph) and dew points in the 8–12°C range limit extreme cooling but support the cluster around 14°C, consistent with the market’s tightest probabilities on 14°C (28.5%) and 15°C (29%). The 27.5% on 22°C or higher likely reflects residual model spread or potential increases in cloud cover that would reduce nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows in Ankara average near 14°C, so current conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns without strong anomalies. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the narrow 13–15°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月14日安卡拉最低溫度？
22°C或以上 54%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
29%
13°C
25%
14°C
29%
15°C
30%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C或以上
54%
22°C或以上 54%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
18°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
12°C或以下
$8 交易量
29%
13°C
$54 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
29%
15°C
$0 交易量
30%
16°C
$20 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C或以上
$0 交易量
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for Ankara on September 14, driven by radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy to clear skies following a 24–26°C daytime high.** Moderate westerly winds (5–9 mph) and dew points in the 8–12°C range limit extreme cooling but support the cluster around 14°C, consistent with the market’s tightest probabilities on 14°C (28.5%) and 15°C (29%). The 27.5% on 22°C or higher likely reflects residual model spread or potential increases in cloud cover that would reduce nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows in Ankara average near 14°C, so current conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns without strong anomalies. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the narrow 13–15°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$83結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for Ankara on September 14, driven by radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy to clear skies following a 24–26°C daytime high.** Moderate westerly winds (5–9 mph) and dew points in the 8–12°C range limit extreme cooling but support the cluster around 14°C, consistent with the market’s tightest probabilities on 14°C (28.5%) and 15°C (29%). The 27.5% on 22°C or higher likely reflects residual model spread or potential increases in cloud cover that would reduce nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows in Ankara average near 14°C, so current conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns without strong anomalies. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the narrow 13–15°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$83結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models from sources like Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS runs point to a minimum temperature of 13–15°C for Ankara on September 14, driven by radiational cooling overnight under partly cloudy to clear skies following a 24–26°C daytime high.** Moderate westerly winds (5–9 mph) and dew points in the 8–12°C range limit extreme cooling but support the cluster around 14°C, consistent with the market’s tightest probabilities on 14°C (28.5%) and 15°C (29%). The 27.5% on 22°C or higher likely reflects residual model spread or potential increases in cloud cover that would reduce nocturnal heat loss. Historical September lows in Ankara average near 14°C, so current conditions align with typical early-autumn patterns without strong anomalies. Updated model runs tonight and official observations tomorrow morning will resolve the narrow 13–15°C band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions