Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will drive Jinan’s overnight minimum to 16°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability. This reflects observed surface temperatures near 20°C at dusk and standard nocturnal cooling rates for early September in the region, where seasonal averages hover near 18°C but drier air enhances heat loss. Traders assign negligible odds to 14–15°C or higher readings because model consensus shows limited variability absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day frontal influence or measurement-site microclimate differences that could alter the official daily low by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日濟南最低氣溫？
9月5日濟南最低氣溫？
16°C 99.4%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或以上
<1%
16°C 99.4%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
12°C或以下
$57 交易量
1%
13°C
$57 交易量
1%
14°C
$54 交易量
1%
15°C
$97 交易量
1%
16°C
$505 交易量
99%
17°C
$265 交易量
<1%
18°C
$450 交易量
1%
19°C
$65 交易量
<1%
20°C
$55 交易量
<1%
21°C
$55 交易量
<1%
22°C或以上
$55 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will drive Jinan’s overnight minimum to 16°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability. This reflects observed surface temperatures near 20°C at dusk and standard nocturnal cooling rates for early September in the region, where seasonal averages hover near 18°C but drier air enhances heat loss. Traders assign negligible odds to 14–15°C or higher readings because model consensus shows limited variability absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day frontal influence or measurement-site microclimate differences that could alter the official daily low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,715結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will drive Jinan’s overnight minimum to 16°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability. This reflects observed surface temperatures near 20°C at dusk and standard nocturnal cooling rates for early September in the region, where seasonal averages hover near 18°C but drier air enhances heat loss. Traders assign negligible odds to 14–15°C or higher readings because model consensus shows limited variability absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day frontal influence or measurement-site microclimate differences that could alter the official daily low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,715結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly winds will drive Jinan’s overnight minimum to 16°C on September 5, aligning with the market’s 99.5% implied probability. This reflects observed surface temperatures near 20°C at dusk and standard nocturnal cooling rates for early September in the region, where seasonal averages hover near 18°C but drier air enhances heat loss. Traders assign negligible odds to 14–15°C or higher readings because model consensus shows limited variability absent unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts. The outcome remains sensitive to any late-day frontal influence or measurement-site microclimate differences that could alter the official daily low by 1–2°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions