Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Jinan will experience mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 32°C on September 6, well above the 26°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Persistent high pressure and light winds support continued warmth following recent days of similar readings around 31–33°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal systems expected overnight. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, making the current setup an extension of late-summer patterns rather than an anomaly. The market-implied 98.5% probability for 26°C or higher reflects strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Only an unanticipated rapid cooling event or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome below that level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C或更高 99%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
99%
26°C或更高 99%
16°C或以下 4%
17°C 4%
18°C 4%
16°C或以下
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Jinan will experience mostly sunny conditions and a daytime high near 32°C on September 6, well above the 26°C threshold that dominates trader positioning. Persistent high pressure and light winds support continued warmth following recent days of similar readings around 31–33°C, with minimal precipitation risk and no significant frontal systems expected overnight. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, making the current setup an extension of late-summer patterns rather than an anomaly. The market-implied 98.5% probability for 26°C or higher reflects strong model consensus and limited forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Only an unanticipated rapid cooling event or localized measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome below that level.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions