Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月15日倫敦的最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 交易量
$22,744 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$22,744 交易量
$22,744 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或以下
$1,032 交易量
否
15°C
$572 交易量
否
16°C
$469 交易量
否
17°C
$841 交易量
否
18°C
$1,931 交易量
否
19°C
$6,175 交易量
否
20°C
$7,709 交易量
是
21°C
$2,499 交易量
否
22°C
$915 交易量
否
23°C
$335 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$265 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$22,744結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,744結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over southern England on August 15, 2026, maintaining overnight minimum temperatures at 20°C through limited radiative cooling and mild southwesterly flow. This setup, supported by model consensus on dew points and boundary-layer stability, underpins the market's 100% implied probability for a 20°C low. Historical August climatology for London shows typical minima near 14–16°C, making the current warmth notable. A realistic shift could occur if a cold front arrives earlier than projected or if clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling, though latest guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions