Strong trader consensus around a 10°C low for London on June 11 stems from the latest Met Office and European model guidance, which indicate overnight temperatures bottoming out near that threshold under widespread cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating Atlantic airflow following an unusually warm May. Official forecasts project daytime highs near 14–19°C with minimal diurnal range due to persistent stratus and showers, aligning closely with climatological June minima around 10–12°C. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer breaks could allow readings 1–2°C lower or higher before final verification by the UK Met Office.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月11日倫敦的最低溫度?
10°C 99.8%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$24,989 交易量
$24,989 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
10°C 99.8%
7°C <1%
6°C <1%
8°C <1%
$24,989 交易量
$24,989 交易量
5°C或以下
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong trader consensus around a 10°C low for London on June 11 stems from the latest Met Office and European model guidance, which indicate overnight temperatures bottoming out near that threshold under widespread cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating Atlantic airflow following an unusually warm May. Official forecasts project daytime highs near 14–19°C with minimal diurnal range due to persistent stratus and showers, aligning closely with climatological June minima around 10–12°C. The near-certain market-implied probability reflects this model agreement and real-time observations, though shifts in steering patterns or clearer breaks could allow readings 1–2°C lower or higher before final verification by the UK Met Office.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions