Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in Miami near 78–80°F on June 17 under the prevailing warm, humid summer regime driven by southeasterly trade winds and scattered nocturnal convection. Recent observations show minima stabilizing in the upper 70s, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June when sea-surface temperatures and high dew points limit radiational cooling. The near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects modest forecast uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with ensemble spreads indicating limited potential for either slight additional cooling or retained warmth depending on thunderstorm outflow timing. No synoptic features such as fronts or enhanced subsidence are expected to shift outcomes outside this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月17日邁阿密的最低溫度?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 3.6%
82-83°F 2.8%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
<1%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 3.6%
82-83°F 2.8%
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in Miami near 78–80°F on June 17 under the prevailing warm, humid summer regime driven by southeasterly trade winds and scattered nocturnal convection. Recent observations show minima stabilizing in the upper 70s, consistent with climatological baselines for mid-June when sea-surface temperatures and high dew points limit radiational cooling. The near-even split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins reflects modest forecast uncertainty in the precise timing of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with ensemble spreads indicating limited potential for either slight additional cooling or retained warmth depending on thunderstorm outflow timing. No synoptic features such as fronts or enhanced subsidence are expected to shift outcomes outside this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions