Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日米蘭的最低溫度？
8月27日米蘭的最低溫度？
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 交易量
$2,114 交易量
2026-08-27
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 交易量
$2,114 交易量
2026-08-27
16°C or below
$95 交易量
No
17°C
$150 交易量
No
18°C
$109 交易量
No
19°C
$128 交易量
No
20°C
$117 交易量
No
21°C
$53 交易量
No
22°C
$691 交易量
Yes
23°C
$183 交易量
No
24°C
$300 交易量
No
25°C
$167 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$121 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,114結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,114結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions