Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 4, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecast guidance issued in the preceding days. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 99% for this bin reflect traders’ confidence in the preliminary climatological reports and the low likelihood of significant measurement revisions. A realistic challenge could arise only from an official data correction by NOAA or use of an alternative station reporting a different value outside the bin, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月4日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.7%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,879 交易量
$14,879 交易量
2026-08-04
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 99.0%
68-69°F 1.7%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$14,879 交易量
$14,879 交易量
2026-08-04
59°F or below
$469 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$409 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$810 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,119 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,334 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$3,062 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$1,455 交易量
99%
72-73°F
$3,055 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$778 交易量
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 4, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecast guidance issued in the preceding days. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 99% for this bin reflect traders’ confidence in the preliminary climatological reports and the low likelihood of significant measurement revisions. A realistic challenge could arise only from an official data correction by NOAA or use of an alternative station reporting a different value outside the bin, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
交易量
$14,879結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 4, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecast guidance issued in the preceding days. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 99% for this bin reflect traders’ confidence in the preliminary climatological reports and the low likelihood of significant measurement revisions. A realistic challenge could arise only from an official data correction by NOAA or use of an alternative station reporting a different value outside the bin, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,879結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETOfficial observations from National Weather Service stations in the New York City area, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 4, 2026, aligning closely with National Weather Service forecast guidance issued in the preceding days. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure pattern with light winds and clear to partly cloudy skies that limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 99% for this bin reflect traders’ confidence in the preliminary climatological reports and the low likelihood of significant measurement revisions. A realistic challenge could arise only from an official data correction by NOAA or use of an alternative station reporting a different value outside the bin, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily minimums.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions