Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF currently project a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 20, 2026, aligning with seasonal averages for late summer and recent cooling after earlier heat. This consensus arises from stable atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, and no significant cold air advection. Historical baselines show typical August lows near 14–16°C, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper northerly wind shift dropping readings below 14°C, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月20日巴黎最低溫度？
8月20日巴黎最低溫度？
15°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,103 交易量
$12,103 交易量
2026-08-20
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
15°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$12,103 交易量
$12,103 交易量
2026-08-20
11°C或以下
$169 交易量
否
12°C
$1,069 交易量
否
13°C
$773 交易量
否
14°C
$1,168 交易量
否
15°C
$848 交易量
是
16°C
$2,388 交易量
否
17°C
$3,917 交易量
否
18°C
$574 交易量
否
19°C
$416 交易量
否
20°C
$465 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$316 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF currently project a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 20, 2026, aligning with seasonal averages for late summer and recent cooling after earlier heat. This consensus arises from stable atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, and no significant cold air advection. Historical baselines show typical August lows near 14–16°C, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper northerly wind shift dropping readings below 14°C, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$12,103結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF currently project a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 20, 2026, aligning with seasonal averages for late summer and recent cooling after earlier heat. This consensus arises from stable atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, and no significant cold air advection. Historical baselines show typical August lows near 14–16°C, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper northerly wind shift dropping readings below 14°C, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,103結束日期
2026-08-20市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF currently project a minimum temperature of 15°C in Paris on August 20, 2026, aligning with seasonal averages for late summer and recent cooling after earlier heat. This consensus arises from stable atmospheric conditions featuring moderate southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, and no significant cold air advection. Historical baselines show typical August lows near 14–16°C, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted clear-sky radiative cooling event or a sharper northerly wind shift dropping readings below 14°C, though model agreement and proximity to resolution make such deviations improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions