Recent forecast model runs for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 17–19°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides thermal moderation that typically limits overnight drops compared to inland sites, while current overcast conditions reduce outgoing longwave radiation and keep temperatures from falling sharply. Historical mid-September averages hover around 18°C, and ongoing observations through the night plus any clearing trends will determine whether the low settles at 19°C or dips toward 17°C or below. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and station readings will resolve the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日青島最低氣溫？
9月13日青島最低氣溫？
16°C或以下 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$905 交易量
$905 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
16°C或以下 90%
17°C 90%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$905 交易量
$905 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
17°C
$0 交易量
90%
18°C
$31 交易量
-
19°C
$213 交易量
-
20°C
$139 交易量
<1%
21°C
$15 交易量
<1%
22°C
$303 交易量
<1%
23°C
$159 交易量
<1%
24°C
$15 交易量
<1%
25°C
$15 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 17–19°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides thermal moderation that typically limits overnight drops compared to inland sites, while current overcast conditions reduce outgoing longwave radiation and keep temperatures from falling sharply. Historical mid-September averages hover around 18°C, and ongoing observations through the night plus any clearing trends will determine whether the low settles at 19°C or dips toward 17°C or below. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and station readings will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$905結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 17–19°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides thermal moderation that typically limits overnight drops compared to inland sites, while current overcast conditions reduce outgoing longwave radiation and keep temperatures from falling sharply. Historical mid-September averages hover around 18°C, and ongoing observations through the night plus any clearing trends will determine whether the low settles at 19°C or dips toward 17°C or below. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and station readings will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$905結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast model runs for Qingdao indicate a daily minimum near 17–19°C, with close market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates under mostly cloudy skies and light variable winds. Coastal proximity to the Yellow Sea provides thermal moderation that typically limits overnight drops compared to inland sites, while current overcast conditions reduce outgoing longwave radiation and keep temperatures from falling sharply. Historical mid-September averages hover around 18°C, and ongoing observations through the night plus any clearing trends will determine whether the low settles at 19°C or dips toward 17°C or below. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and station readings will resolve the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions