Official forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and typical early-September radiative cooling under the region's temperate monsoon climate. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligns closely with observed trends, where daytime highs reach 25–26°C before nocturnal drops stabilize near this threshold, consistent with coastal station data showing limited diurnal variation. This produces the near-certain market-implied outcome. Unlikely shifts, such as unexpected low-level cloud cover or a sudden southerly wind change, could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日青島最低氣溫？
9月9日青島最低氣溫？
15°C 99.6%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$4,096 交易量
$4,096 交易量
2026-09-09
14°C或以下
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
15°C 99.6%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$4,096 交易量
$4,096 交易量
2026-09-09
14°C或以下
$404 交易量
否
15°C
$45 交易量
是
16°C
$1,343 交易量
否
17°C
$251 交易量
否
18°C
$261 交易量
否
19°C
$301 交易量
否
20°C
$194 交易量
否
21°C
$264 交易量
否
22°C
$117 交易量
否
23°C
$239 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$677 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and typical early-September radiative cooling under the region's temperate monsoon climate. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligns closely with observed trends, where daytime highs reach 25–26°C before nocturnal drops stabilize near this threshold, consistent with coastal station data showing limited diurnal variation. This produces the near-certain market-implied outcome. Unlikely shifts, such as unexpected low-level cloud cover or a sudden southerly wind change, could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,096結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and typical early-September radiative cooling under the region's temperate monsoon climate. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligns closely with observed trends, where daytime highs reach 25–26°C before nocturnal drops stabilize near this threshold, consistent with coastal station data showing limited diurnal variation. This produces the near-certain market-implied outcome. Unlikely shifts, such as unexpected low-level cloud cover or a sudden southerly wind change, could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,096結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C in Qingdao on September 9, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air, and typical early-September radiative cooling under the region's temperate monsoon climate. Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF aligns closely with observed trends, where daytime highs reach 25–26°C before nocturnal drops stabilize near this threshold, consistent with coastal station data showing limited diurnal variation. This produces the near-certain market-implied outcome. Unlikely shifts, such as unexpected low-level cloud cover or a sudden southerly wind change, could raise the low by 1–2°C and alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions