**Official National Weather Service observations confirm the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a minimum of 54°F on September 9, 2026, matching the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 96.5% implied probability.** This value fell just 1°F below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 55°F amid stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly winds that supported typical nocturnal radiative cooling without anomalous cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model consensus and surface observations aligned closely with this range, reflecting low forecast uncertainty in the late-summer regime. Unlikely challengers include station-specific microclimate differences or post-event data revisions, though the official airport reading serves as the primary resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日西雅圖的最低溫度?
54-55°F 99.5%
50-51°F 7%
52-53°F 7%
47°F或以下 <1%
$1,406 交易量
$1,406 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或更高
否
54-55°F 99.5%
50-51°F 7%
52-53°F 7%
47°F或以下 <1%
$1,406 交易量
$1,406 交易量
47°F或以下
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
是
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official National Weather Service observations confirm the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a minimum of 54°F on September 9, 2026, matching the market's dominant 54-55°F outcome at 96.5% implied probability.** This value fell just 1°F below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 55°F amid stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly winds that supported typical nocturnal radiative cooling without anomalous cold-air advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Recent model consensus and surface observations aligned closely with this range, reflecting low forecast uncertainty in the late-summer regime. Unlikely challengers include station-specific microclimate differences or post-event data revisions, though the official airport reading serves as the primary resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions