**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日上海最低溫度？
9月12日上海最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
23°C 3%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$22,535 交易量
$22,535 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
23°C 3%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
$22,535 交易量
$22,535 交易量
2026-09-12
18°C或以下
$185 交易量
否
19°C
$155 交易量
否
20°C
$155 交易量
否
21°C
$2,075 交易量
否
22°C
$2,145 交易量
否
23°C
$3,823 交易量
否
24°C
$9,681 交易量
是
25°C
$3,808 交易量
否
26°C
$186 交易量
否
27°C
$165 交易量
否
28°C或更高
$155 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$22,535結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,535結束日期
2026-09-12市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Current observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations show the minimum temperature on September 12 reaching 24°C under clear to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and high humidity.** This aligns with regional model consensus and aligns with late-summer climatology for the area, where overnight lows typically stabilize in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent strong cold advection. Traders have placed near-certain weight on the 24°C outcome because verified station readings provide definitive resolution criteria, leaving minimal room for revision once the meteorological day closes. Only an unexpected late-night drop below current trends or an official data adjustment would realistically shift the market-implied odds away from this consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions