Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 17 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling under a humid subtropical regime. Current conditions feature overcast skies and northeast flow near 10 km/h, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting temperature drops compared to clearer analogs. Light rain chances early in the period add minor uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh minor model spread in low-level moisture and wind speed against historical September minima near 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of local midnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日上海最低溫度？
9月17日上海最低溫度？
22°C 40%
23°C 38%
20°C 12%
21°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
8%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或以上
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 38%
20°C 12%
21°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
$89 交易量
<1%
18°C
$17 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$121 交易量
12%
21°C
$163 交易量
8%
22°C
$134 交易量
40%
23°C
$872 交易量
38%
24°C
$888 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$64 交易量
1%
27°C或以上
$64 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 17 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling under a humid subtropical regime. Current conditions feature overcast skies and northeast flow near 10 km/h, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting temperature drops compared to clearer analogs. Light rain chances early in the period add minor uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh minor model spread in low-level moisture and wind speed against historical September minima near 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of local midnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,402結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 17 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling under a humid subtropical regime. Current conditions feature overcast skies and northeast flow near 10 km/h, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting temperature drops compared to clearer analogs. Light rain chances early in the period add minor uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh minor model spread in low-level moisture and wind speed against historical September minima near 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of local midnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,402結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on September 17 will likely settle near 22–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that suppress radiative cooling under a humid subtropical regime. Current conditions feature overcast skies and northeast flow near 10 km/h, with dew points around 18–20°C limiting temperature drops compared to clearer analogs. Light rain chances early in the period add minor uncertainty to boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds reflect this tight clustering, as traders weigh minor model spread in low-level moisture and wind speed against historical September minima near 22°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact threshold ahead of local midnight observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions