**Strong consensus around a 21°C minimum for Shanghai on September 16 stems from consistent GFS and regional model outputs showing overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple forecasts project a low of 20.7–21°C during the pre-dawn hours, aligning with September climatology where typical nighttime lows range 20–22°C. Current conditions feature moderate humidity (around 45–60%) and no significant frontal activity or unusual warmth advection that would elevate the minimum. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable patterns, with limited upside risk from model spread or observational revisions. The outcome could shift only if unforecasted clear skies accelerate cooling or a late wind change introduces warmer marine air, though official monitoring data through resolution time strongly supports the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日上海最低溫度？
9月16日上海最低溫度？
21°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
最新
$14,235 交易量
最新
$14,235 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
21°C 99.4%
20°C <1%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
最新
$14,235 交易量
最新
$14,235 交易量
2026-09-16
17°C或以下
$130 交易量
<1%
18°C
$144 交易量
<1%
19°C
$357 交易量
<1%
20°C
$160 交易量
1%
21°C
$930 交易量
99%
22°C
$2,601 交易量
<1%
23°C
$7,290 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,233 交易量
<1%
25°C
$130 交易量
<1%
26°C
$130 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$1,130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong consensus around a 21°C minimum for Shanghai on September 16 stems from consistent GFS and regional model outputs showing overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple forecasts project a low of 20.7–21°C during the pre-dawn hours, aligning with September climatology where typical nighttime lows range 20–22°C. Current conditions feature moderate humidity (around 45–60%) and no significant frontal activity or unusual warmth advection that would elevate the minimum. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable patterns, with limited upside risk from model spread or observational revisions. The outcome could shift only if unforecasted clear skies accelerate cooling or a late wind change introduces warmer marine air, though official monitoring data through resolution time strongly supports the implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,235結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong consensus around a 21°C minimum for Shanghai on September 16 stems from consistent GFS and regional model outputs showing overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple forecasts project a low of 20.7–21°C during the pre-dawn hours, aligning with September climatology where typical nighttime lows range 20–22°C. Current conditions feature moderate humidity (around 45–60%) and no significant frontal activity or unusual warmth advection that would elevate the minimum. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable patterns, with limited upside risk from model spread or observational revisions. The outcome could shift only if unforecasted clear skies accelerate cooling or a late wind change introduces warmer marine air, though official monitoring data through resolution time strongly supports the implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,235結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Strong consensus around a 21°C minimum for Shanghai on September 16 stems from consistent GFS and regional model outputs showing overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds.** Multiple forecasts project a low of 20.7–21°C during the pre-dawn hours, aligning with September climatology where typical nighttime lows range 20–22°C. Current conditions feature moderate humidity (around 45–60%) and no significant frontal activity or unusual warmth advection that would elevate the minimum. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these stable patterns, with limited upside risk from model spread or observational revisions. The outcome could shift only if unforecasted clear skies accelerate cooling or a late wind change introduces warmer marine air, though official monitoring data through resolution time strongly supports the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions