Singapore's equatorial location and persistent warm, humid air mass underpin the 99% market-implied probability for a 27°C daily minimum on August 21. National Environment Agency outlooks note night-time temperatures holding above 27°C island-wide amid typical August conditions, where average daily minima reach 25.3°C yet frequently stabilize near 27°C under light winds and cloud cover. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below this threshold without rare synoptic shifts. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or enhanced radiative cooling could lower readings toward 25–26°C, though model consensus and current observations indicate minimal risk of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月21日的最低溫度?
27°C 100.0%
26°C 1.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$2,324 交易量
$2,324 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
26°C 1.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$2,324 交易量
$2,324 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Singapore's equatorial location and persistent warm, humid air mass underpin the 99% market-implied probability for a 27°C daily minimum on August 21. National Environment Agency outlooks note night-time temperatures holding above 27°C island-wide amid typical August conditions, where average daily minima reach 25.3°C yet frequently stabilize near 27°C under light winds and cloud cover. Historical data show August lows rarely dip below this threshold without rare synoptic shifts. A stronger-than-expected monsoon surge or enhanced radiative cooling could lower readings toward 25–26°C, though model consensus and current observations indicate minimal risk of such deviation before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions