Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日東京最低溫度？
8月16日東京最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,279 交易量
$17,279 交易量
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,279 交易量
$17,279 交易量
2026-08-16
18°C或以下
$274 交易量
否
19°C
$224 交易量
否
20°C
$1,410 交易量
否
21°C
$1,416 交易量
否
22°C
$2,848 交易量
否
23°C
$3,871 交易量
否
24°C
$3,820 交易量
是
25°C
$1,703 交易量
否
26°C
$1,249 交易量
否
27°C
$219 交易量
否
28°C或以上
$246 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$17,279結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,279結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have converged on a 24°C minimum for Tokyo on August 16 due to official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and consistent model guidance showing overnight lows near the long-term August average of 23–24°C under typical humid subtropical conditions. High daytime readings around 31°C and scattered showers have not produced the stronger nocturnal cooling sometimes seen with clearer skies or typhoon influences, keeping the expected minimum aligned with climatological baselines. Minor forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded low if cloud cover or wind patterns change overnight, though current observational trends and historical August data strongly support the market-implied outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions