Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS point to a 23°C overnight minimum in Tokyo on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly winds that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity near 90%. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where warm, moist air from the Pacific moderates temperatures, keeping the daily low close to recent observations around 23–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation. A sudden clearing of skies or a rapid wind shift to northerly flow could allow greater cooling and push the low below 23°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日東京最低溫度？
9月8日東京最低溫度？
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,928 交易量
$16,928 交易量
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
是
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
23°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$16,928 交易量
$16,928 交易量
2026-09-08
20°C或以下
$966 交易量
否
21°C
$1,694 交易量
否
22°C
$1,026 交易量
否
23°C
$3,139 交易量
是
24°C
$3,363 交易量
否
25°C
$2,569 交易量
否
26°C
$2,685 交易量
否
27°C
$608 交易量
否
28°C
$93 交易量
否
29°C
$649 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$140 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS point to a 23°C overnight minimum in Tokyo on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly winds that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity near 90%. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where warm, moist air from the Pacific moderates temperatures, keeping the daily low close to recent observations around 23–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation. A sudden clearing of skies or a rapid wind shift to northerly flow could allow greater cooling and push the low below 23°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$16,928結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS point to a 23°C overnight minimum in Tokyo on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly winds that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity near 90%. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where warm, moist air from the Pacific moderates temperatures, keeping the daily low close to recent observations around 23–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation. A sudden clearing of skies or a rapid wind shift to northerly flow could allow greater cooling and push the low below 23°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,928結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models such as GFS point to a 23°C overnight minimum in Tokyo on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southerly winds that limit radiative cooling and maintain high humidity near 90%. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where warm, moist air from the Pacific moderates temperatures, keeping the daily low close to recent observations around 23–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% on 23°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation. A sudden clearing of skies or a rapid wind shift to northerly flow could allow greater cooling and push the low below 23°C, though current steering patterns make such shifts unlikely before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions